THE CHAMPIONSHIPS 2013
Wimbledon Final Statistical Preview: Djokovic Vs. Murray
by IBM Statistics|
Match-up: Djokovic leads their FedEx ATP Head2Head series 11-7 having won their past three meetings, including the 2013 Australian Open final. That match was decided by performance on second serve. Djokovic won 66% on his second serve while Murray won just 46%. In the three sets he lost Murray won only 13 of 35 second serve points (37%); in the set he won he was 11 of 17 on second serve (65%). Murray's second serve speed in that match averaged 83 miles per hour, the same as he's averaging at Wimbledon entering the final.
Murray has been returning well against second serves here (57% won) and he'll need to do that against Djokovic. In their last match, Murray did not break Djokovic's serve, failing on all four of his break point chances. Djokovic has been playing extremely well from the backcourt and his ability to win with either his forehand (77 winners) or his backhand (61 winners) creates issues for his opponents.
Serving will be key for both players: getting first serves in play creates aggressive chances and limits the opportunities for the opponent to attack the second serve. In their Australian Open final, Murray took the opening set tie-break in which he did not miss a first serve (4 for 4) and Djokovic did not hit a first serve in play (0 for 5 including a double fault).
Murray is playing for his country and for history. Djokovic is playing for his second Wimbledon title and his second major title of the year.
• Great serving - 76 aces - 7 double faults - 66% 1st serves in play - 82% 1st serve points won - 60% 2nd serve points won (he won only 39% of his 2nd serve points against Del Potro) - broken 6 times in 101 service games
• Solid, consistent returns - 74% returns back in play - 36% won returning 1st serves - 50% won returning 2nd serves - converted just 25 of 83 break points
• Great balance from the backcourt - 77 forehand winners - 61 backhand winners
• Strong 1st serve - 80 aces - 80% 1st serve points won - saved 22 of 30 break points faced
• Consistent and solid return game - 76% returns back in play - 57% won returning 2nd serves
• Improved forehand - solid backhand - 83 forehand winners - 40 backhand winners
|Djokovic (1)||Murray (2)|
|66%||1st Serve %||65%|
|82%||1st Serve Points||80%|
|60%||2nd Serve Points||56%|
|19||Break Points Faced||30|
|94%||Service Games Held||92%|
|117 mph||Average 1st Serve||116 mph|
|96 mph||Average 2nd Serve||83 mph|
|129 mph||Fastest Serve||133 mph|
|74%||Returns In Play||76%|
|36%||1st Return Points Won||31%|
|50%||2nd Return Points Won||57%|
|25||Breaks of Serve||29|
|98||Return Games Played||102|
|26%||Return Games Won %||28%|
|41||Forehand Unforced Errors||42|
|62||Backhand Unforced Errors||42|
|120 of 162||Net Points Won||131 of 183|
|74%||Net Points Won %||72%|
|52%||Baseline Points Won||49%|
|14:26||Time on Court||14:51|
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