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Wimbledon Final Statistical Preview: Djokovic Vs. Murray

Wimbledon, England

Murray© Getty ImagesHow will Andy Murray's second serve fare against Novak Djokovic?

We take a statistical look at Sunday's Wimbledon final between Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray

Match-up: Djokovic leads their FedEx ATP Head2Head series 11-7 having won their past three meetings, including the 2013 Australian Open final. That match was decided by performance on second serve. Djokovic won 66% on his second serve while Murray won just 46%. In the three sets he lost Murray won only 13 of 35 second serve points (37%); in the set he won he was 11 of 17 on second serve (65%). Murray's second serve speed in that match averaged 83 miles per hour, the same as he's averaging at Wimbledon entering the final.

Murray has been returning well against second serves here (57% won) and he'll need to do that against Djokovic. In their last match, Murray did not break Djokovic's serve, failing on all four of his break point chances. Djokovic has been playing extremely well from the backcourt and his ability to win with either his forehand (77 winners) or his backhand (61 winners) creates issues for his opponents.

Serving will be key for both players: getting first serves in play creates aggressive chances and limits the opportunities for the opponent to attack the second serve. In their Australian Open final, Murray took the opening set tie-break in which he did not miss a first serve (4 for 4) and Djokovic did not hit a first serve in play (0 for 5 including a double fault).

Murray is playing for his country and for history. Djokovic is playing for his second Wimbledon title and his second major title of the year.

Djokovic Highlights:
• Great serving - 76 aces - 7 double faults - 66% 1st serves in play - 82% 1st serve points won - 60% 2nd serve points won (he won only 39% of his 2nd serve points against Del Potro) - broken 6 times in 101 service games
• Solid, consistent returns - 74% returns back in play - 36% won returning 1st serves - 50% won returning 2nd serves - converted just 25 of 83 break points
• Great balance from the backcourt - 77 forehand winners - 61 backhand winners

Murray Highlights:
• Strong 1st serve - 80 aces - 80% 1st serve points won - saved 22 of 30 break points faced
• Consistent and solid return game - 76% returns back in play - 57% won returning 2nd serves
• Improved forehand - solid backhand - 83 forehand winners - 40 backhand winners

Djokovic (1)   Murray (2)
76 Aces 80
7 Double Faults 11
35% Unreturned Serves 34%
66% 1st Serve % 65%
82% 1st Serve Points 80%
60% 2nd Serve Points 56%
6 Broken 8
19 Break Points Faced 30
101 Games Served 103
94% Service Games Held 92%
117 mph Average 1st Serve 116 mph
96 mph Average 2nd Serve 83 mph
129 mph Fastest Serve 133 mph
74% Returns In Play 76%
36% 1st Return Points Won 31%
50% 2nd Return Points Won 57%
25 Breaks of Serve 29
83 Break Points 66
30% Pct. Converted 44%
98 Return Games Played 102
26% Return Games Won % 28%
77 Forehand Winners 83
41 Forehand Unforced Errors 42
61 Backhand Winners 40
62 Backhand Unforced Errors 42
275 Winners 249
112 Unforced Errors 102
120 of 162 Net Points Won 131 of 183
74% Net Points Won % 72%
52% Baseline Points Won 49%
80 Games Lost 82
2 Sets Lost 3
14:26 Time on Court 14:51

 

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