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Nadal vs. Federer Preview Analysis

Melbourne, Australia

Nadal, Federer© Getty ImagesRafael Nadal prevailed in both previous encounters with Roger Federer at the Australian Open, in the 2009 final and 2012 semi-finals.

Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer are set to renew their storied rivalry Friday night, with a berth in the Australian Open final on the line.

This will be their 33rd meeting with Nadal holding a 22-10 advantage in the FedEx ATP Head2Head series. The last time they met in a best-of-five-set match was two years ago here in the semi-finals, with Nadal winning in four sets.

Below are some statistical insights that could hold the answer to who will win tonight's showdown...

NADAL HIGHLIGHTS
• "70-70 Club" on serve - 70% 1st serves in play - 77% 1st serve points won (winning almost 60% on 2nd serves as well) - saved 72% (18 of 25) break points faced
• Strong return game - 77% hit back in play - 34% won returning 1st serves - 58% won returning 2nd serves - 21 breaks of serve in 14 sets played
• Big forehand weapon - 74 forehand winners

FEDERER HIGHLIGHTS
• Dominant serving - 83% 1st serve points won - 61% 2nd serve points won - broken twice in 77 service games
• Very solid baseline play so far - great forehand (66 winners only 57 unforced errors), more aggressive backhand (32 backhand winners) and very aggressive and effective at net (won 135 of 178 net approaches)
• Has matched Nadal's return of serve numbers through five rounds, breaking serve 30% of the time - his question mark is his ability to convert break chances - he's converted just 33% (22 of 66)

For additional insight, visit www.ibm.com/sports.

Rafael Nadal Roger Federer
29 Aces 45
10 Double Faults 7
31% Unreturned Serves 36%
71% 1st Serve % 63%
76% 1st Serve Points 83%
59% 2nd Serve Points 61%
7 Broken 2
25 Break Points Faced 11
68 Games Served 77
90% Service Games Held 97%
205 kmh/127 mph Broken 208 kmh/129 mph
77% Returns in Play 76%
34% 1st Return Points Won 36%
58% 2nd Return Points Won 53%
21 Breaks of Serve 22
42 Break Points 66
50% Pct. Converted 33%
69 Return Games Played 74
30% Return Games Won % 30%
74 Forehand Winners 66
66 Forehand Unforced Errors 57
21 Backhand Winners 32
36 Backhand Unforced Errors 63
151 Winners 214
117 Unforced Errors 133
67 of 87
Net Points Won 135 of 178
77% Net Points Won 76%
53% Baseline Points Won 51%
55 Games Lost 55
1 Sets Lost 1
11:32 Time on Court 10:28

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