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Monfils vs. Federer Preview Analysis

New York, U.S.A.

Monfils© Getty ImagesGael Monfils is bidding for his third win in 10 meetings with Roger Federer.

Roger Federer and Gael Monfils will contest the last of the US Open quarter-finals Thursday night at Flushing Meadows. Federer leads their FedEx ATP Head2Head series 7-2, with both of Monfils' victories coming indoors on hard court.  

IBM data suggests that the key for Monfils in this match-up is his serve. He's been serving really well through four rounds in New York and has been broken only five times. His one serving concern will be double faults (27 in four matches). The other challenge for Monfils will be to not get too defensive. He has great offensive weapons, but tends to revert to playing defence - giving away court position, and relying on his incredible speed around the court to stay in points.  That can be dangerous against a player who likes to attack as much as Federer.  

Monfils does like to change pace, mix in soft looping shots with powerful blasts from the baseline. That variety can be very effective for him.

Federer, a five-time US Open champion, is looking to improve his Arthur Ashe night match record to 26-1 and reach his third major semi-final of the season. Monfils is bidding to reach his first Grand Slam semi-final since Roland Garros 2008, when he was beaten by Federer.

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  • Strong serving - broken only five times in four rounds – 78 per cent first serve points won - 41 aces – 55 per cent second serve points won
  • Converted 50 per cent of his break chances (12 of 42)
  • Very solid from the backcourt - 63 forehand winners - 31 backhand winners – 55 per cent baseline points won
  • Strong first serve - 40 aces – 81 per cent 1st serve points won – 39 per cent of serves are not hit back
  • Returning very well against first serves (42 per cent won) - 23 breaks in 60 service games
  • Aggressive ground game - 49 forehand winners - 24 backhand winners - effective when getting to net (67 per cent net approaches won) - 160 net approaches in four matches.

Statistcs courtesy: IBM

Monfils   Federer
41 Aces 40
27 Double Faults 10
36% Unreturned Serves 39%
57% 1st Serve % 62%
78% 1st Serve Points 81%
55% 2nd Serve Points 53%
5 Broken 6
22 Break Points Faced 20
59 Games Served 59
92% Service Games Held 90%
137mph Fastest Serve 130mph
79% Returns In Play 75%
39% 1st Return Points Won 42%
53% 2nd Return Points Won 53%
21 Breaks Of Serve 23
42 Break Points 58
50% Pct. Converted 40%
60 Return Games Played 60
35% Return Games Won % 38%
63 Forehand Winners 49
57 Forehand Unforced Errors 46
31 Backhand Winners 24
43 Backhand Unforced Errors 35
153 Winners 170
128 Unforced Errors 101
31 of 47 Net Points Won 107 of 160
66% Net Points Won Pct. 67%
55% Baseline Points Won 51%
43 Games Lost 43
0 Sets Lost 1
8:27 Time On Court 7:49

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Related Topics:

New York, Gael Monfils, Roger Federer

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